Is Interplanetary Space Too Hot For Humans?

Radioactively hot, that is.

While the Curiosity Mars Rover was cruising for eight months between Earth and Mars, one of the instruments aboard was measuring the radiation levels encountered along the way. The Radiation Assessment Detector—RAD—was inside the spacecraft, shielded in much the same way as astronauts would be on an interplanetary mission. Now the same instrument is continuing to monitor those radiation levels on the Martian surface. The results from the interplanetary cruise phase of the mission were recently released, and while they don’t rule out interplanetary voyages by humans, they do highlight a significant risk.

Let’s do a Q & A to address some background material and some of the issues involved in order to better understand this.
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Weekend Sky Show

The two brightest planets in the sky, Venus and Jupiter, have been drawing closer and closer to each other as seen from Earth for the past several days. This weekend they will be joined by the hard-to-see innermost planet Mercury for a rare triple planetary conjunction. The three planets will form a triangle, with each roughly two degrees from the other. Your pinky finger held at arm’s length is about one degree wide.  Here is what they will look like about thirty minutes after sunset on Saturday, Sunday and Monday nights (May 25, 26 and 27, 2013).

Saturday

Saturday

Sunday

Sunday

Monday

Monday

In each image, the large blue dot is Venus (the brightest of the three), the large yellow dot is Jupiter (next brightest) and the smaller pink dot is Mercury.

Venus and Mercury are closer to the sun that is the Earth, and Jupiter is much farther away. The apparent proximity of these planets is a matter of perspective, of course. Here is a view from above the solar system that shows their positions relative to the Earth. You can see how they will appear close to each other in our sky even when they are millions of miles apart.

May 26,2013

May 26,2013

Mercury and Venus will continue to climb in the sky in the days to come while Jupiter sinks into the sun’s glare, so enjoy this while you can!

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Name That Star!

How many stars can you call by name? Unless you are a devotee of the night sky, the number will likely not require more than one hand to count. Betelgeuse perhaps, simply because its pronunciation brings to mind a movie starring Michael Keaton. Polaris if you remember that it is the North Star. Alpha Centauri if you know that it is our nearest stellar neighbor beyond the sun. Any more?

orion labeled

Have you wondered about how these stars are named? You might guess that some names are ancient, bestowed upon the brightest stars visible throughout human history. But what about something like SAO 101729, or HD 2341? Did you know that Betelgeuse is also known as Alpha Orionis, HD 39801, SAO 113271 AND GSC 129:1873? Let’s back up a little and see if we can make some sense out of this scrambled mess.
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Land of Fire, Ice..and Aurorae

My wife and I returned a week ago from a trip to Iceland to see the Northern Lights and some of the scenic wonders of this far-north country. We did see the lights, and they were a magnificent sight! Although we went out every night but one (jet lag and regular nightly expeditions until 2 am required one night of recovery), it was not until our fifth night there when we had all but abandoned hope that the aurorae began to dance for us. To get those gorgeous pictures you see online requires a more expensive camera than ours! Nonetheless, we did get some pictures even though the brightest display was in a light-polluted restaurant parking lot.  (Picture of Eyjafjallajökull eruption from Wikimedia Commons, picture of Jane and Neal Sumerlin by Robert Naeye, all other pictures by Jane Sumerlin.)

 

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491

Even if we had not seen the lights, it would have been a wonderful trip. Iceland is an other-worldly place of great beauty. It truly feels at times as though you are on another planet. The mid-Atlantic rift valley that separates the Eurasian and North American tectonic plates runs right across the island.
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Iceland or Bust!

My wife and I will be traveling to Iceland later this week, hoping to see the Northern Lights. There are many astronomical phenomena that don’t require travel, but for the few that do, there are plenty of travel agencies waiting to accommodate you. When we traveled to the South Pacific in 2009 to see a total solar eclipse, it was with a group organized by Sky and Telescope magazine.  This trip is also under the auspices of Sky and Telescope, which insures that I will be around people whose enthusiasms match mine. In other words, astronomy nerds.

Why Iceland? And why now? I posted earlier about aurorae, and here I want to give a basic primer in the form of a question-and-answer session.

What are aurorae?
These are glowing lights in the sky caused by charged particles colliding with atmospheric atoms. These particles come mostly from the sun and are trapped in the Earth’s magnetic field. They impart energy to the atoms; when the atoms return to a lower-energy state, they emit light. The aurorae can take the form of a generalized sky glow or of sharply defined features that look like waving curtains. The most we ever see at the latitude of Lynchburg (37.5° N) is this generalized glow when the sun is especially active and the region in which aurorae are most active shifts farther south. When I have seen it, it looks like a late sunset or a fire on the northern horizon.

Why Iceland?
Aurorae are best seen at high latitudes, either very far south or very far north. For someone living in the United States, Iceland is a lot more accessible than the southern equivalent, which is the Antarctic Peninsula. Aurorae mostly occur in a band called the auroral zone, a ring centered on the Earth’s magnetic (not geographic) pole. Here is a “weather forecast” of the ring from last year, courtesy of NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration—your tax dollars at work again).

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Catch a Comet

This week, Comet PANSTARRS will be a naked eye object for observers in the northern hemisphere. But you need to be quick–it is low on the western horizon, close to the sun. If you are too early, the sky is too bright to see it. If you are too late, it will have already set. Fifteen to thirty minutes after sunset is the time to start looking. A pair of binoculars may help you spot it. Here is a helpful graphic from our friends at NASA, among the few government agencies people actually like.

Panstarrs

It reaches its closest approach to the sun today (March 10), and moves farther away after that. If you look at the diagram, you can see that it also moves farther north each day. PANSTARRS has been visible in the southern hemisphere for some time now, but is only coming into view for those us north of the equator in recent days. This image may help explain why.

panstarrs1

The comet is moving from bottom to top (south to north) in this view, which is along the plane of the solar system.

Finally, what’s up with that weird name? Comets are named for their discoverers, so we have perfectly understandable names like Comet West, Comet Hale-Bopp (joint discovery) or even Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 (the ninth joint discovery by these folks). Increasingly, however, comets are being discovered by automated surveys dedicated to the task. Pan-Starrs stands for Panoramic Survey Telescope and Rapid Response System. Based in Hawaii, where about 75% of the entire sky is visible, its cameras can image all of that in about a week. These images can be compared to the previous ones, and any change will reveal a solar system object (close enough so that its motion is detectable) such as an asteroid or comet.  It’s operated by the Air Force, and its main purpose is to detect possibly hazardous Near-Earth Objects. Every once in a while we get a nice bonus!

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Warning: 14-Year-Old Geek Ahead

Most people my age who have wound up in some sort of a science-related career (and many who have not) can trace their excitement about the subject to the space programs of the late 1950s and 1960s. I’m no exception. With advance warning that you will see a scary picture of the 14-year-old me, you can read about some of that here.

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Lots of Links About Asteroids

The nearly simultaneous and completely coincidental occurrences of a near miss by an asteroid and the biggest meteor to hit the Earth in more than a century have prompted a lot of questions. There is so much that is fascinating about these objects, from their danger (one will eventually be on a collision course with the Earth) to their promise (some are potential sources of great wealth), that I can imagine a book-length Star Struck post! My time and most likely your patience preclude that for now, although I’d like to return to the topics in smaller segments in the near future. For now, I decided to send you to a few of the best web links I have found on a variety of topics related to Near Earth Objects.

Near Earth Objects are strictly defined as anything whose closest approach to the Sun is less than 1.3 astronomical units (AU), one AU being the average distance of the Earth from the Sun. NASA has a page full of information here and you can plot orbit diagrams for them if you like. This application lets you take a 3D look at the orbit, always helpful in really understanding why orbits don’t always really intersect when you think they do. Type in 2012 DA14 to see the orbit of the near-miss asteroid of February 15, 2013.  This nice FAQ page tells how they are found and how the danger of an impact is assessed.

In what truly was a cosmic coincidence, the largest meteor to strike the Earth in more than a century streaked through the Russian skies a mere thirty hours before 2012 DA14’s closest approach. The inimitable Emily Lakdawalla rounds up some informative links, including this great illustration of why the two events are unrelated.

What if a really big one was headed our way? How would we quantify the danger? The Torino scale attempts to do so. For specialists in the field, the eminently geeky Palermo scale is preferred.

More than thirty years ago a team of scientists found evidence of a massive asteroid impact coinciding with the mass extinction that killed off the dinosaurs 65 million years ago. Lingering skepticism about this proposal has pretty much been laid to rest by recent results.

Russia has been the scene of the two biggest meteor strikes of the last 105 years. The Tunguska event of 1908 took place over largely uninhabited territory, which was a very good thing. Slate has collected some historical documents, some (but by no means all) of which require fluency in Russian.

NASA is so cash-strapped that most of the search for potentially hazardous objects is farmed out to private organizations. Preeminent among those is the B612 Foundation. Extra points to anyone who knows the origin of the name without clicking on this link!

NASA sort of has a plan to go to an asteroid. Sort of. Maybe. If they can raise the cash. If the stars align.

Despite Armageddon and Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck, nuclear weapons are not the first choice for saving the Earth from an impending asteroid impact. Phil Plait discusses the general topic, and an MIT student’s clever method involves paintball!

Most asteroids are just rock, interesting to scientists but not of any immediate economic value. A few, however, are metallic, remnants of the cores of small planetesimals that shattered early in the solar system’s history. The value of a million tons of high purity metal should be obvious. Get on board with Planetary Resouces if you want to be an asteroid miner. Check out a paper on just how feasible and profitable this might be before you sign up.

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Close Only Counts In Horseshoes

At about 2:30 p.m. EST on February 15th, 2013, a 50 meter (150 feet) diameter asteroid will approach within 28,000 km (17,000 miles) of the Earth, traveling at about 8 km/s (18,000 mph). Should you be worried?

That depends on your time frame. In the short term: absolutely not. There is NO CHANCE that this particular object will impact the earth. Will there be a major asteroid impact in the next century? Very probably not. None of the thousands of asteroids discovered in the last few years, when means of detecting them have greatly improved, show any danger of hitting us in that time period. Will such an object strike Earth eventually? Absolutely yes, it will, unless we do something about it.

For the immediate future, there is asteroid 2012 DA14, which will whiz past us tomorrow more closely than the communications satellites that ring the Earth’s equator. I wasn’t able to find (or to create) an animation of the closest approach, so here are two images from different angles.

This views the Earth from above the North Pole and shows the asteroid approaching from the bottom left. The times are UTC (Universal Coordinated Time) on February 15. Subtract five hours for Eastern Standard Time. Taken by itself, this view is deceptive, because it looks as though the asteroid will come crashing through the ring of geosynchronous satellites! (These satellites orbit at a distance where their orbital motion matches the Earth’s rotation. They consequently remain stationary above a particular spot on the surface.) But take a look at a different view looking at the Earth’s equator instead of the North Pole—from the side, if you will.

This lets us see that the asteroid approaches Earth mostly from the south and moves somewhat in the direction of our point of view as shown here.

Can those of us in the U.S. see it? Only if we plan a very quick trip to the other side of the world! The best visibility will be from Eastern Europe, Asia and Australia. A live webcast is planned from Israel (link is here) starting at 12:30 p.m. EST. My prediction, based on past experience? They will be absolutely slammed with people all over the world trying to link, and you won’t be able to get through. But it’s worth a try.

Here is an earlier post  about asteroid impact dangers. Don’t worry—at least not for another few centuries!

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A Pattern And A Puzzle

In my previous post, I talked about the strong evidence for the presence of water ice in permanently shaded crater floors around the north pole of Mercury. Part of the evidence for this was the thermal modeling of surface and near-surface temperatures to predict polar temperatures. We’re all familiar with the fact that polar regions of the earth are colder than equatorial regions, and the same is true for Mercury. But things are a lot simpler on Mercury. There is no atmosphere to carry heat from one part of the globe to another, and there are no oceans to act as heat traps. The only things much affecting these temperatures are

• The angle of the sun, which is related to latitude and the time of solar day (morning, noon, etc.)
• The topography of the surface (an area might be shaded from the sun most of the time)

But while these are certainly the most important, are they really the only influences? Take a look at the figure below, showing the average temperature just below the surface over a two-Mercury-year period.

(From Paige, D.A., Siegler, M.A., Harmon, J.K., Neumann, G.A., Mazarico, E.M., Smith, D.E., Zuber, M.T., Harju, E., Delitsky, M.L., and Solomon, S.C., 2013, Thermal Stability of Volatiles in the North Polar Region of Mercury, Science, vol. 339, p. 300-303. Reprinted with permission from AAAS.)

See anything odd about this? The topographical variations that you would expect are there, and indeed they are the reason that ice can survive on this scorched planet. See if you can find something unexpected, though. (Explanation after the jump.)

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