Chris Froome got 25 s on Fabio Aru in today’s Stage 14 and turned a 6-s deficit into a 19-s lead on the Italian cyclist. Michael Matthews won what I consider to be a slow stage today. Below is a comparison between the winning time and our prediction.
- Stage 14: 4h 21′ 56″ (actual), 4h 12′ 56″ (prediction), 09′ 00″ fast (-3.44% error)
We were too slow on hilly Stages 5 and 8, so power was upped slightly for today’s stage. We would have been under 1% without the change! Oh well, that’s what makes this so much fun. We can’t predict team strategies, crashes, and weather. Below is our prediction for tomorrow’s hilly stage.
- Stage 15: 4h 41′ 26″ (prediction)
I’m not tweaking the power in our model for tomorrow’s stage. Will I regret that with a rest day to follow???